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Covid-19 surge in Leicester?

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Covid-19 surge in Leicester?

Postby Andy.I » Thu Jul 02, 2020 11:11 am

Something is puzzling me about this latest scare...

1. Leicester has a population of 329,893.

2. Leicester has a Covid-19 infection level of 135 per 100,000 of the population.

3. The Covid-19 mortality rate is 0.25%

4. 329893/100,000*135*0.25% = 1.11339 deaths.

Conclusion: either my figures or calculation are wrong, or we are being asked to accept that Leicester should be put into lockdown because of the statistical risk of less than two deaths? :?

Would anybody care to check please?
Last edited by Andy.I on Thu Jul 02, 2020 1:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Covin-19 surge in Leicester?

Postby Sidebyside » Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:18 pm

My place of abode Baldersby-St-James has a population of 35 no one has contracted Covid 19 , does that mean we are seriously due to be put on lock down ? :shock: :worried: :worried: :worried: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin:
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Re: Covin-19 surge in Leicester?

Postby flintlok » Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:33 pm

Sidebyside wrote:My place of abode Baldersby-St-James has a population of 35 no one has contracted Covid 19 , does that mean we are seriously due to be put on lock down ? :shock: :worried: :worried: :worried: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin: :grin:


You need to be locked up for your own good in any case. :grin: :grin: :grin:
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Re: Covin-19 surge in Leicester?

Postby Les1066 » Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:45 pm

I ran out of fingers, but your numbers look correct, so the powers-that-be seemingly know something that we don't. :hmm:
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Re: Covid-19 surge in Leicester?

Postby mathspete » Mon Jul 06, 2020 12:20 am

I make it 111 deaths (3sf).
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